personal player football: Mid-January 2011 SST Anomaly Update

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

Mid-January 2011 SST Anomaly Update

I’ve moved to WordPress. This post can now be found at Mid-January 2011 SST Anomaly Update

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This mid-month update only includes the shorter-term NINO3.4 and global SST anomaly graphs; that is, the ones from January 2004 to present. Both the NINO3.4 and Global SST anomalies have dropped.

As noted in the November 2010 SST Anomaly Update, the global SST anomalies do not appear as though they will drop to the level they had reached during the 2007/08 La Niña, even if one were to account for the differences in NINO3.4 SST anomalies. This of course will be raised by alarmists as additional proof of anthropogenic global warming.

But the reason the global SST anomalies have warmed in that time is due primarily to the fact that the East Indian and West Pacific Oceans (about 25% of the surface area of the global oceans) can warm in response to both El Niño and La Niña events. Refer to Can El Niño Events Explain All of the Global Warming Since 1976? – Part 1 and Can El Niño Events Explain All of the Global Warming Since 1976? – Part 2, and the video included in La Niña Is Not The Opposite Of El Niño – The Videos.

Keep in mind, the warm water released from below the surface of the Pacific Warm Pool doesn’t simply vanish at the end of the El Niño.

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NINO3.4
NINO3.4 SST anomalies for the week centered on January 12, 2011 show that central equatorial Pacific SST anomalies have dropped in the past two weeks. They cycled back down to near their earlier low for this La Niña season. They’re at approximately -1.8 deg C.

http://i53.tinypic.com/zxp5l0.jpg
NINO3.4 SST Anomalies - Short-Term

GLOBAL
Weekly Global SST anomalies have dropped to a new seasonal low, but they are far from the low reached during the 2007/08 La Niña. They are presently at +0.04 deg C.